Radcliffe Borough 2-5 Ashton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Mar 2024

Radcliffe Borough
2-5 HT 1-2
Ashton United
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Non League Premier – 2023/2024

Radcliffe Borough vs Ashton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
25%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.59
Over 2.5
56%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+0.7pp
25%
Away Win
16%
+9.5pp
44%
Under 2.5
35%
+9.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
65%
-9.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Radcliffe Borough v Ashton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Ashton United EU Bookmakers 19%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +13%
2.42/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.47
+18% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +32%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9

Radcliffe Borough vs Ashton United Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Ashton United
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
21.10.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 0-2 HT 0-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
11.02.2023 Ashton United Ashton United 1-2 HT 0-1 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP
22.10.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-1 HT 0-0 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
26.02.2022 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 0-2 HT 0-2 Ashton United Ashton United İNGNLP
09.11.2021 Ashton United Ashton United 3-1 HT 1-0 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough İNGNLP

Radcliffe Borough 2-5 Ashton United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
2-5
AWAY Ashton United
64% Ball Possession 36%
10 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Ashton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ashton United cruised past Radcliffe Borough 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Radcliffe Borough carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 64% of the ball to Ashton United's 36%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Radcliffe Borough and 1.40 for Ashton United.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Ashton United?

Radcliffe Borough 2-5 Ashton United in the England - Non League Premier on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Ashton United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radcliffe Borough win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 55%, draw 20%, Ashton United 25%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Radcliffe Borough) ✓ Over 2.5
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