Concordia 4-2 Thun II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Classic, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.75
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
30%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
44%
4-5
21%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
50%
Home Win
54%
-3.4pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.3pp
30%
Away Win
20%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Concordia The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Thun II The Market 23%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+90% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
473 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Concordia vs Thun II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Concordia beat Thun II 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Concordia as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Concordia vs Thun II?

Concordia 4-2 Thun II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Concordia vs Thun II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Concordia win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Concordia 50%, draw 20%, Thun II 30%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Concordia) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Concordia) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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