23/03/2024
·
18:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Echallens vs Sion II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Echallens win — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
54%
Home Win
51%
24%
Draw
23%
23%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Echallens v Sion II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Echallens
The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY
Sion II
The Market 29%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
54%
Ball Possession
46%
13
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
5
Corners
5
402 · 81%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
273 · 75%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Echallens vs Sion II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sion II got the better of Echallens 3-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Echallens at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
What was the final score of Echallens vs Sion II?
Echallens 1-3 Sion II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Classic on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Echallens vs Sion II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Echallens win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Echallens 54%, draw 24%, Sion II 23%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Echallens) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Echallens)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İSV1C
More Switzerland - 1st Division Classic
23 Mar 2024