23/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Derthona 1908 vs Albenga Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
Over
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
No
44%
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
28%
Home Win
27%
30%
Draw
25%
42%
Away Win
48%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Derthona 1908 v Albenga — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Derthona 1908
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Albenga
The Market 52%
+11% /
+11%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-22%
/
-45%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
10
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
312 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
354 · 82%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Derthona 1908 vs Albenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Derthona 1908 and Albenga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Albenga at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
What was the final score of Derthona 1908 vs Albenga?
Derthona 1908 2-2 Albenga in the Italy - Serie D on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Derthona 1908 vs Albenga?
Before kick-off our model rated an Albenga win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Derthona 1908 28%, draw 30%, Albenga 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Albenga), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Albenga)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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İTD
More Italy - Serie D
23 Mar 2024