Sampdoria (K) 1-0 Como (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italya - Women's Serie A, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+1.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sampdoria (K) EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Como (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
0.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-67% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / +78%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Como (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.81 xG 0.94
37% Ball Possession 63%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
200 Passes 372
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
14 Box Touches 30
10 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 0
14.01.2024 Como (K) Como (K) 0-1 HT 0-1 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) İTKSA
07.10.2023 Sampdoria (K) Sampdoria (K) 1-2 HT 0-2 Como (K) Como (K) İTKSA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sampdoria (K)
1-0
AWAY Como (K)
1.08 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
256 Passes 336
70% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampdoria (K) nicked a narrow win over Como (K) 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sampdoria (K) as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Sampdoria (K) had 45% of the ball to Como (K)'s 55%, shots finished 12-14, expected goals 1.08 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sampdoria (K) and 1.00 for Como (K).

What was the final score of Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K)?

Sampdoria (K) 1-0 Como (K) in the Italya - Women's Serie A on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sampdoria (K) vs Como (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sampdoria (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sampdoria (K) 41%, draw 28%, Como (K) 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sampdoria (K)), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sampdoria (K)) ✓ Under 2.5
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