Real Sociedad (K) 0-1 A. Bilbao (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 23 Mar 2024

Real Sociedad (K)
0-1 HT 0-0
A. Bilbao (K)
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar – 2024

Real Sociedad (K) vs A. Bilbao (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.5pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.2pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Real Sociedad (K) v A. Bilbao (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad (K) EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY A. Bilbao (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+150% / -66% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
13.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Real Sociedad (K) 0-1 A. Bilbao (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad (K)
0-1
AWAY A. Bilbao (K)
1.63 xG 0.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
21 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
294 Passes 320
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
31 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

A. Bilbao (K) squeezed past Real Sociedad (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; A. Bilbao (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Real Sociedad (K) had 48% of the ball to A. Bilbao (K)'s 52%, shots finished 21-7, expected goals 1.63 to 0.34 — on chances, Real Sociedad (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Real Sociedad (K) 0-1 A. Bilbao (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad (K) vs A. Bilbao (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad (K) 33%, draw 33%, A. Bilbao (K) 33%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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