23/03/2024
·
21:30
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Ituzaingo vs Barracas Bolivar Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
Over
45%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2-3
34%
4-5
19%
6+
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
13%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
37%
Home Win
35%
30%
Draw
28%
33%
Away Win
37%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ituzaingo v Barracas Bolivar — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Ituzaingo
The Market 39%
Head to Head
AWAY
Barracas Bolivar
The Market 40%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
12
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
282 · 73%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
362 · 77%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Ituzaingo vs Barracas Bolivar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Ituzaingo and Barracas Bolivar couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Ituzaingo vs Barracas Bolivar?
Ituzaingo 2-2 Barracas Bolivar in the Argentina - Primera C Apertura on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ituzaingo vs Barracas Bolivar?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ituzaingo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Ituzaingo 37%, draw 30%, Barracas Bolivar 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ituzaingo), Under 2.5 went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Ituzaingo)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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ARJPC
More Argentina - Primera C Apertura
23 Mar 2024