Samford Rangers 3-1 North Lakes United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland Premier League 2, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.75
Draw
16%
3.45
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No
55%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
39%
4-5
24%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
4%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Samford Rangers win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
53%
+3.2pp
16%
Draw
26%
-10.1pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Samford Rangers The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY North Lakes United The Market 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
379 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Samford Rangers vs North Lakes United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Samford Rangers beat North Lakes United 3-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Samford Rangers as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Samford Rangers vs North Lakes United?

Samford Rangers 3-1 North Lakes United in the Australia - Queensland Premier League 2 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Samford Rangers vs North Lakes United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Samford Rangers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Samford Rangers 56%, draw 16%, North Lakes United 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Samford Rangers), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Samford Rangers) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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