Melbourne City (K) 3-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.23
Over 2.5
46%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
12%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
13%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+4.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+13.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-13.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K) EU Bookmakers 34%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +53% / +53%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +50% / +150%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.9
Crosses 13.6
Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne City (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
15.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners (K) Central Coast Mariners (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne City (K)
3-0
AWAY Central Coast Mariners (K)
3.61 xG 1.61
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
360 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
37 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne City (K) cruised past Central Coast Mariners (K) 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Melbourne City (K) had 52% of the ball to Central Coast Mariners (K)'s 48%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 3.61 to 1.61.

What was the final score of Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Melbourne City (K) 3-0 Central Coast Mariners (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne City (K) vs Central Coast Mariners (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Melbourne City (K) 42%, draw 23%, Central Coast Mariners (K) 34%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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