W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 Western United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.7pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-3.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.7pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Western United (K) EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
280 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 410 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
3-1
AWAY Western United (K)
2.06 xG 2.68
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
211 Passes 335
61% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 40
11 Crosses 39
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Western United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) got the better of Western United (K) 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Western United (K) at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) had 42% of the ball to Western United (K)'s 58%, shots finished 7-18, expected goals 2.06 to 2.68 — the balance of chances actually favoured Western United (K).

What was the final score of W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Western United (K)?

W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-1 Western United (K) in the Australia - W-League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for W. Sydney Wanderers (K) vs Western United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Western United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 31%, draw 27%, Western United (K) 42%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United (K)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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