Vitoria ES 0-1 Rio Branco-VN — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Capixaba, 23 Mar 2024

Vitoria ES
0-1
Rio Branco-VN
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Brazil - Capixaba – 2024

Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.76
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
38%
4-5
20%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
51%
Home Win
52%
-1.3pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.9pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria ES v Rio Branco-VN — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria ES The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Rio Branco-VN The Market 28%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -23% / -23%
1.29/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.71
-21% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
423 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.7 Yellow Cards –

Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria ES
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Rio Branco-VN
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
The Meetings
20.03.2022 Rio Branco-VN Rio Branco-VN 2-3 HT 0-1 Vitoria ES Vitoria ES BRCAP
POST-MATCH Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Branco-VN nicked a narrow win over Vitoria ES 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Vitoria ES at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

Vitoria ES 0-1 Rio Branco-VN in the Brazil - Capixaba on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria ES vs Rio Branco-VN?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria ES win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Vitoria ES 51%, draw 22%, Rio Branco-VN 27%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Vitoria ES) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Vitoria ES) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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