USAC 0-0 Itapirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Paulista A3, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.8
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
22%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
11%
X/2
4%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
52%
+1.8pp
24%
Draw
27%
-2.8pp
22%
Away Win
21%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USAC The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Itapirense The Market 24%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -45%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
347 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USAC
0-0
AWAY Itapirense
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
POST-MATCH USAC vs Itapirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USAC and Itapirense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was USAC at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, USAC had 58% of the ball to Itapirense's 42%, shots finished 21-15.

What was the final score of USAC vs Itapirense?

USAC 0-0 Itapirense in the Brazil - Paulista A3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USAC vs Itapirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a USAC win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split USAC 53%, draw 24%, Itapirense 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (USAC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (USAC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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