Jaro 4-0 JaPS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykköscup, 23 Mar 2024

Jaro
4-0 HT 2-0
JaPS
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
4.64
2-3 Goals
37%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.86
6+ Goals
10%
8.07
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.64 — our 29% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.0pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+9.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.3pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jaro EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY JaPS EU Bookmakers 21%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
3.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+74% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jaro
2W-3D-1L
AWAY JaPS
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.09.2023 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FINY
06.08.2023 Jaro Jaro 1-1 HT 0-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
27.05.2023 JaPS JaPS 2-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
01.10.2022 JaPS JaPS 1-3 HT 1-2 Jaro Jaro FINY
20.08.2022 Jaro Jaro 3-1 HT 1-1 JaPS JaPS FİN2
18.04.2022 JaPS JaPS 0-0 HT 0-0 Jaro Jaro FİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jaro
4-0
AWAY JaPS
57% Ball Possession 43%
24 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jaro vs JaPS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Jaro swept aside JaPS 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Jaro as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Jaro had 57% of the ball to JaPS's 43%, shots finished 24-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Jaro had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Jaro and 0.83 for JaPS.

What was the final score of Jaro vs JaPS?

Jaro 4-0 JaPS in the Finland - Ykköscup on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jaro vs JaPS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Jaro win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Jaro 54%, draw 26%, JaPS 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Jaro), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Jaro) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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