23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
2-0
Toulon vs Jura Sud Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
49%
Over
51%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No Pick
52%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
20%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
51%
Home Win
51%
25%
Draw
24%
24%
Away Win
25%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Toulon v Jura Sud — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Toulon
The Market 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Jura Sud
The Market 29%
-18% /
-18%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+59% /
+59%
0.98/0.71
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
2.00/1.00
-34%
/
+111%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
+22%
/
+64%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
12
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
307 · 75%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
309 · 72%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Toulon vs Jura Sud
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Jura Sud nicked a narrow win over Toulon 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was Toulon at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
What was the final score of Toulon vs Jura Sud?
Toulon 1-2 Jura Sud in the France - National League 2 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Toulon vs Jura Sud?
Before kick-off our model rated a Toulon win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Toulon 51%, draw 25%, Jura Sud 24%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Toulon), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Toulon)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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FR4
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23 Mar 2024