Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Bordeaux (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.45
Away
45%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.91
Over 2.5
56%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
30%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
48%
-13.2pp
20%
Draw
26%
-5.7pp
45%
Away Win
26%
+18.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saint-Étienne (K) EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Bordeaux (K) EU Bookmakers 30%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
313 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 71%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saint-Étienne (K)
1-0
AWAY Bordeaux (K)
0.76 xG 0.21
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
326 Passes 326
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
10 Box Touches 8
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saint-Étienne (K) vs Bordeaux (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saint-Étienne (K) nicked a narrow win over Bordeaux (K) 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Bordeaux (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Saint-Étienne (K) had 49% of the ball to Bordeaux (K)'s 51%, shots finished 9-5, expected goals 0.76 to 0.21.

What was the final score of Saint-Étienne (K) vs Bordeaux (K)?

Saint-Étienne (K) 1-0 Bordeaux (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saint-Étienne (K) vs Bordeaux (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bordeaux (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Saint-Étienne (K) 35%, draw 20%, Bordeaux (K) 45%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bordeaux (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK1 More France - Women's 1st Divisioni
23 Mar 2024
15:30 Lille (K) vs Lyon (K) Analysis →
16:00 Dijon (K) vs Guingamp (K) Analysis →
16:30 Le Havre (K) vs Stade de Reims (K) Analysis →