23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-0
Chambery vs Saint-Etienne II Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
Over
44%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
41%
4-5
21%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
48%
29%
Draw
25%
24%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chambery v Saint-Etienne II — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Chambery
The Market 52%
Head to Head
AWAY
Saint-Etienne II
The Market 31%
+40% /
+40%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-42% /
-42%
3.00/1.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.00/1.00
+88%
/
+30%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
+46%
51%
Ball Possession
49%
14
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
5
5
Corners
6
340 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
321 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Chambery vs Saint-Etienne II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Chambery ran out comfortable winners over Saint-Etienne II 4-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chambery as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Chambery vs Saint-Etienne II?
Chambery 4-0 Saint-Etienne II in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chambery vs Saint-Etienne II?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chambery win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Chambery 47%, draw 29%, Saint-Etienne II 24%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chambery), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Chambery)
✗ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024