23/03/2024
·
20:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-2
2nd Score
2-1
Sable FC vs USSA Vertou Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
41%
Over Pick
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
46%
4-5
21%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 59% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
36%
Home Win
42%
24%
Draw
27%
40%
Away Win
31%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Sable FC v USSA Vertou — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Sable FC
The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY
USSA Vertou
The Market 34%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-23% /
-23%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-66%
/
-58%
52%
Ball Possession
48%
12
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
6
Corners
4
322 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
278 · 71%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Sable FC vs USSA Vertou
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Sable FC squeezed past USSA Vertou 2-1.
Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Sable FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Sable FC vs USSA Vertou?
Sable FC 2-1 USSA Vertou in the France - National League 3 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Sable FC vs USSA Vertou?
Before kick-off our model rated an USSA Vertou win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Sable FC 36%, draw 24%, USSA Vertou 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (USSA Vertou) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (USSA Vertou)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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FRUL3
More France - National League 3
23 Mar 2024