Waa Banjul Football 0-1 Marimoo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Gambiya - GFA League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
63%
1.27
Draw
22%
5.15
Away
15%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No
60%
Total Goals
0-1
23%
2-3
45%
4-5
23%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
47%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Waa Banjul Football win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
63%
Home Win
75%
-12.0pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.2pp
16%
Away Win
9%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Waa Banjul Football The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Marimoo The Market 11%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -68%
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
471 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 236 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Waa Banjul Football vs Marimoo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marimoo nicked a narrow win over Waa Banjul Football 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Waa Banjul Football at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Waa Banjul Football vs Marimoo?

Waa Banjul Football 0-1 Marimoo in the Gambiya - GFA League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Waa Banjul Football vs Marimoo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Waa Banjul Football win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Waa Banjul Football 63%, draw 22%, Marimoo 16%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Waa Banjul Football) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Waa Banjul Football) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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