Malacateco 2-2 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
26%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
44%
+5.0pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.0pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -2%
1.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.36
+1% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 4-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.01.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
05.09.2022 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-1 HT 0-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
06.03.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 2-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
2-2
AWAY Antigua GFC
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco and Antigua GFC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Malacateco at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Malacateco had 50% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 50%, shots finished 18-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Malacateco and 1.67 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?

Malacateco 2-2 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 49%, draw 25%, Antigua GFC 26%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Malacateco) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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