AZ (K) 2-2 Twente (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-4 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
22%
7.13
Away
65%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
3.14
Over 2.5
54%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.99
No
57%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
3%
X/2
24%
X/X
9%
2/1
3%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.1pp
21%
Draw
10%
+10.9pp
65%
Away Win
84%
-19.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
28%
+17.7pp
54%
Over 2.5
72%
-17.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
46%
-2.8pp
57%
BTTS No
54%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AZ (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% /
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
257 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 471 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AZ (K)
2-2
AWAY Twente (K)
1.92 xG 0.46
38% Ball Possession 62%
10 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
196 Passes 402
65% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 15
POST-MATCH AZ (K) vs Twente (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AZ (K) and Twente (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Twente (K) at 65% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AZ (K) had 38% of the ball to Twente (K)'s 62%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 1.92 to 0.46.

What was the final score of AZ (K) vs Twente (K)?

AZ (K) 2-2 Twente (K) in the Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AZ (K) vs Twente (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split AZ (K) 13%, draw 21%, Twente (K) 65%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Twente (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLK1 More Netherlands - Women's Eredivisie
23 Mar 2024
16:00 Ajax (K) vs PEC Zwolle (K) Analysis →