Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - WE League Women's, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
23%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.44
Over 2.5
33%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.19
No
62%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
38%
+7.7pp
31%
Draw
32%
-1.2pp
23%
Away Win
30%
-6.5pp
67%
Under 2.5
66%
+1.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
34%
-1.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.0pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +59% / +59%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
248 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mynavi Sendai (K)
2-1
AWAY AS Elfen Saitama (K)
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
0 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Mynavi Sendai (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mynavi Sendai (K) nicked a narrow win over AS Elfen Saitama (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mynavi Sendai (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Mynavi Sendai (K) had 60% of the ball to AS Elfen Saitama (K)'s 40%, shots finished 12-14.

What was the final score of Mynavi Sendai (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Mynavi Sendai (K) 2-1 AS Elfen Saitama (K) in the Japan - WE League Women's on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mynavi Sendai (K) vs AS Elfen Saitama (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mynavi Sendai (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Mynavi Sendai (K) 46%, draw 31%, AS Elfen Saitama (K) 23%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mynavi Sendai (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mynavi Sendai (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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