23/03/2024
·
19:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
1-2
FC Bitburg vs Gonsenheim Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over Pick
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1
22%
2-3
44%
4-5
25%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 56% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
47%
Home Win
37%
19%
Draw
25%
34%
Away Win
38%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Bitburg v Gonsenheim — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
FC Bitburg
The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY
Gonsenheim
The Market 42%
-50% /
-50%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
-8%
/
-79%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
50%
Ball Possession
50%
10
Total Shots
11
3
Shots on Target
4
3
Corners
6
318 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
351 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
FC Bitburg vs Gonsenheim
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Gonsenheim squeezed past FC Bitburg 2-1 away from home.
Our pre-match lean was FC Bitburg at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
What was the final score of FC Bitburg vs Gonsenheim?
FC Bitburg 1-2 Gonsenheim in the Germany - Oberliga on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Bitburg vs Gonsenheim?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Bitburg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FC Bitburg 47%, draw 19%, Gonsenheim 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Bitburg), BTTS No went the other way.
✗ Match Result (FC Bitburg)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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OBER
More Germany - Oberliga
23 Mar 2024