Boavista U19 3-2 Paços De Ferreira U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Youth U19, 23 Mar 2024

Boavista U19
3-2 HT 1-1
Paços De Ferreira U19
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Youth U19 – 2023/2024

Boavista U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under
53%
Over
47%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
No Pick
60%
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2-3
53%
4-5
11%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
4%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS No — 60% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
44%
Home Win
41%
+3.0pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.3pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista U19 v Paços De Ferreira U19 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista U19 The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira U19 The Market 33%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.94
-38% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / -33%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 157 · 62%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Boavista U19 3-2 Paços De Ferreira U19 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista U19
3-2
AWAY Paços De Ferreira U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Boavista U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boavista U19 nicked a narrow win over Paços De Ferreira U19 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Boavista U19 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boavista U19 had 51% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira U19's 49%, shots finished 11-9.

What was the final score of Boavista U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19?

Boavista U19 3-2 Paços De Ferreira U19 in the Portugal - Youth U19 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista U19 vs Paços De Ferreira U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boavista U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Boavista U19 44%, draw 27%, Paços De Ferreira U19 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boavista U19) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boavista U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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