Pero Pinheiro 1-3 Dezembro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 3rd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.47
Draw
38%
3.11
Away
30%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.6
Over 2.5
35%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
22%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
36%
-4.6pp
38%
Draw
28%
+9.8pp
30%
Away Win
35%
-5.2pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.4pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pero Pinheiro EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Dezembro EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 251 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pero Pinheiro
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Dezembro
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2023 Dezembro Dezembro 1-1 HT 0-0 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro POR3
19.08.2023 Pero Pinheiro Pero Pinheiro 2-0 HT 0-0 Dezembro Dezembro POR3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pero Pinheiro
1-3
AWAY Dezembro
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pero Pinheiro vs Dezembro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dezembro saw off Pero Pinheiro 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (32% / 38% / 30%) promised a tight game; Dezembro found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Pero Pinheiro had 45% of the ball to Dezembro's 55%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pero Pinheiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pero Pinheiro and 0.50 for Dezembro.

What was the final score of Pero Pinheiro vs Dezembro?

Pero Pinheiro 1-3 Dezembro in the Portugal - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pero Pinheiro vs Dezembro?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Pero Pinheiro 32%, draw 38%, Dezembro 30%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →