Estoril U23 3-0 Famalicao U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
2.07
Over 2.5
44%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.56
No
48%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
6%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.6pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
60%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS No
40%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Estoril U23 EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Famalicao U23 EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.50/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/0.31
-16% / +83% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Estoril U23
3-0
AWAY Famalicao U23
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Estoril U23 vs Famalicao U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Estoril U23 swept aside Famalicao U23 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Estoril U23 as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Estoril U23 had 49% of the ball to Famalicao U23's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

What was the final score of Estoril U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Estoril U23 3-0 Famalicao U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Estoril U23 vs Famalicao U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Estoril U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Estoril U23 44%, draw 27%, Famalicao U23 28%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Estoril U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Estoril U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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