23/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-1
2nd Score
3-0
Bihor Oradea vs Progresul Pecica Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
48%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
16%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
10%
2/X
12%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
53%
Home Win
49%
28%
Draw
24%
18%
Away Win
27%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Bihor Oradea v Progresul Pecica — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Bihor Oradea
The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY
Progresul Pecica
The Market 30%
+34% /
+34%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
+20%
/
+37%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
51%
Ball Possession
49%
13
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
4
316 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
371 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Bihor Oradea vs Progresul Pecica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Bihor Oradea got the better of Progresul Pecica 2-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Bihor Oradea as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Bihor Oradea vs Progresul Pecica?
Bihor Oradea 2-0 Progresul Pecica in the Romania - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Bihor Oradea vs Progresul Pecica?
Before kick-off our model rated a Bihor Oradea win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bihor Oradea 53%, draw 28%, Progresul Pecica 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bihor Oradea) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Bihor Oradea)
✗ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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ROM3
More Romania - 3rd Division
23 Mar 2024