23/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
Horezu vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
Over
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
No
48%
Total Goals
0-1
30%
2-3
44%
4-5
19%
6+
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
19%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
29%
Home Win
27%
35%
Draw
28%
35%
Away Win
45%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Horezu v CSM Ramnicu Valcea — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Horezu
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
The Market 49%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
3
4
Corners
4
282 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
351 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Horezu vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
CSM Ramnicu Valcea squeezed past Horezu 1-0 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 29% / 35% / 35% — and on the day CSM Ramnicu Valcea made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
What was the final score of Horezu vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?
Horezu 0-1 CSM Ramnicu Valcea in the Romania - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Horezu vs CSM Ramnicu Valcea?
Before kick-off our model rated an CSM Ramnicu Valcea win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Horezu 29%, draw 35%, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
◐ Match Result — model had it level (29/35/35)
✓ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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23 Mar 2024