23/03/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
0-3
U Craiova 1948 II vs Filiaşi Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
46%
Over Pick
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
27%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
4%
X/2
5%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 54% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
24%
Home Win
17%
30%
Draw
24%
46%
Away Win
59%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
U Craiova 1948 II v Filiaşi — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
U Craiova 1948 II
The Market 20%
Head to Head
AWAY
Filiaşi
The Market 62%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
45%
Ball Possession
55%
10
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
5
287 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
316 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
U Craiova 1948 II vs Filiaşi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Filiaşi saw off U Craiova 1948 II 2-0 away from home.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Filiaşi as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
What was the final score of U Craiova 1948 II vs Filiaşi?
U Craiova 1948 II 0-2 Filiaşi in the Romania - 3rd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for U Craiova 1948 II vs Filiaşi?
Before kick-off our model rated an Filiaşi win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split U Craiova 1948 II 24%, draw 30%, Filiaşi 46%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Filiaşi), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Filiaşi)
✗ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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23 Mar 2024