Kepez Belediyespor 2-1 Artvin Hopaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
17%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
69%
-8.7pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.3pp
17%
Away Win
11%
+6.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
+0.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+7.1pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kepez Belediyespor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Artvin Hopaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
2.77/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.73/1.24
+33% / +117% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +58%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
392 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kepez Belediyespor
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Artvin Hopaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
12.11.2023 Artvin Hopaspor Artvin Hopaspor 1-2 HT 0-2 Kepez Belediyespor S3-2
16.04.2023 Kepez Belediyespor 0-2 HT 0-2 Artvin Hopaspor Artvin Hopaspor S3-3
19.11.2022 Artvin Hopaspor Artvin Hopaspor 2-2 HT 1-1 Kepez Belediyespor S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kepez Belediyespor
2-1
AWAY Artvin Hopaspor
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kepez Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kepez Belediyespor squeezed past Artvin Hopaspor 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kepez Belediyespor as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kepez Belediyespor had 50% of the ball to Artvin Hopaspor's 50%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kepez Belediyespor and 1.67 for Artvin Hopaspor.

What was the final score of Kepez Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor?

Kepez Belediyespor 2-1 Artvin Hopaspor in the Turkey - 3rd Division 2.Grup on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kepez Belediyespor vs Artvin Hopaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kepez Belediyespor win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Kepez Belediyespor 60%, draw 22%, Artvin Hopaspor 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kepez Belediyespor) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kepez Belediyespor) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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