23/03/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
1-2
Dravograd vs Prevalje Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
Over
52%
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
46%
4-5
23%
6+
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Selection
The Market
32%
Home Win
26%
26%
Draw
25%
42%
Away Win
49%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dravograd v Prevalje — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dravograd
The Market 30%
Head to Head
AWAY
Prevalje
The Market 53%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-68% /
-68%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-100%
/
-2%
43%
Ball Possession
57%
10
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
6
5
Corners
6
290 · 78%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
406 · 85%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dravograd vs Prevalje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Prevalje saw off Dravograd 3-1 away from home.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Prevalje as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (60%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Dravograd vs Prevalje?
Dravograd 1-3 Prevalje in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dravograd vs Prevalje?
Before kick-off our model rated an Prevalje win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dravograd 32%, draw 26%, Prevalje 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Prevalje), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Prevalje)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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23 Mar 2024