Hajdina 1-2 Sampion Celje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 3.SNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.89
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
24%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No Pick
53%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
44%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
47%
Home Win
49%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
24%
Away Win
26%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hajdina The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampion Celje The Market 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Hajdina vs Sampion Celje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sampion Celje edged past Hajdina 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Hajdina at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Hajdina vs Sampion Celje?

Hajdina 1-2 Sampion Celje in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hajdina vs Sampion Celje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hajdina win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Hajdina 47%, draw 29%, Sampion Celje 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hajdina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLO3 More Slovenia - 3.SNL
23 Mar 2024
17:00 Skofja Loka vs ND Slovan Ljubljana Analysis →
17:00 Dravograd vs Prevalje Analysis →
17:00 Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola Analysis →