Sobec Lesce 2-3 MNK Izola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 3.SNL, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
Over
48%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
No Pick
55%
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
37%
4-5
24%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
2%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
43%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sobec Lesce The Market 41%
Head to Head
AWAY MNK Izola The Market 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sobec Lesce
0W-0D-1L
AWAY MNK Izola
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0 Corners 2
09.09.2023 MNK Izola MNK Izola 5-0 HT 0-0 Sobec Lesce SLO3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sobec Lesce
2-3
AWAY MNK Izola
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 23
8 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MNK Izola edged past Sobec Lesce 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sobec Lesce at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sobec Lesce had 42% of the ball to MNK Izola's 58%, shots finished 17-23.

What was the final score of Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola?

Sobec Lesce 2-3 MNK Izola in the Slovenia - 3.SNL on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sobec Lesce vs MNK Izola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sobec Lesce win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sobec Lesce 43%, draw 25%, MNK Izola 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sobec Lesce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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