Humenne 1-0 Samorin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
57%
-7.8pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.5pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Humenne EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Samorin EU Bookmakers 22%
-9% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -6%
1.47/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/2.04
-20% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
397 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Humenne
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Samorin
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2023 Samorin Samorin 2-2 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
01.04.2023 Humenne 3-2 HT 2-0 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
02.09.2022 Samorin Samorin 3-1 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
27.02.2022 Samorin Samorin 1-1 HT 0-1 Humenne SLVK2
07.08.2021 Humenne 3-1 HT 2-1 Samorin Samorin SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Humenne
1-0
AWAY Samorin
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Humenne vs Samorin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Humenne nicked a narrow win over Samorin 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Humenne as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Humenne had 41% of the ball to Samorin's 59%, shots finished 14-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Humenne had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Humenne and 1.80 for Samorin.

What was the final score of Humenne vs Samorin?

Humenne 1-0 Samorin in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Humenne vs Samorin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Humenne win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Humenne 49%, draw 25%, Samorin 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Humenne), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Humenne) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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