Koper 2-1 Mura — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 23 Mar 2024

Koper
2-1 HT 1-0
Mura
📅23/03/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovenia - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Koper vs Mura Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
31%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.76
No
52%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.15
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.72
6+ Goals
10%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.15 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
46%
-7.0pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.4pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Koper v Mura — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Koper EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Mura EU Bookmakers 31%
-7% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +4%
1.28/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.31
-3% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
329 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Koper vs Mura Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Koper
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Mura
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.10.2023 Mura Mura 2-2 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
14.08.2023 Koper Koper 1-3 HT 0-1 Mura Mura SLVN
16.03.2023 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN
30.11.2022 Koper Koper 0-0 HT 0-0 Mura Mura SLVN
11.09.2022 Mura Mura 2-1 HT 1-0 Koper Koper SLVN
03.04.2022 Mura Mura 1-2 HT 0-0 Koper Koper SLVN

Koper 2-1 Mura — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Koper
2-1
AWAY Mura
55% Ball Possession 45%
6 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Koper vs Mura
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Koper nicked a narrow win over Mura 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 30% / 31% — and on the day Koper made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Koper had 55% of the ball to Mura's 45%, shots finished 6-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Koper and 1.50 for Mura.

What was the final score of Koper vs Mura?

Koper 2-1 Mura in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Koper vs Mura?

Before kick-off our model rated a Koper win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Koper 39%, draw 30%, Mura 31%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Koper) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Koper) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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