Portekiz U19 4-1 Sırbistan U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — European U19, 23 Mar 2024

📅23/03/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.42
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.23
Over 2.5
55%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
66%
-9.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.3pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.4pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portekiz U19 EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Sırbistan U19 EU Bookmakers 17%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +47% / +47%
2.99/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.96/0.92
+62% / +131% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / +102%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
349 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.4 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portekiz U19
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Sırbistan U19
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 9
28.07.2014 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 0-0 HT 0-0 Sırbistan U19 Sırbistan U19 U19
29.07.2013 Sırbistan U19 Sırbistan U19 2-2 HT 1-0 Portekiz U19 Portekiz U19 U19
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portekiz U19
4-1
AWAY Sırbistan U19
51% Ball Possession 49%
33 Total Shots 7
16 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portekiz U19 vs Sırbistan U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portekiz U19 ran out comfortable winners over Sırbistan U19 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Portekiz U19 as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Portekiz U19 had 51% of the ball to Sırbistan U19's 49%, shots finished 33-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Portekiz U19 and 1.00 for Sırbistan U19.

What was the final score of Portekiz U19 vs Sırbistan U19?

Portekiz U19 4-1 Sırbistan U19 in the European U19 on 23/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portekiz U19 vs Sırbistan U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portekiz U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Portekiz U19 56%, draw 23%, Sırbistan U19 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portekiz U19), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portekiz U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
U19 More European U19
23 Mar 2024
14:00 İskoçya U19 vs Gürcistan U19 Analysis →
14:30 Almanya U19 vs Romanya U19 Analysis →
15:00 Belçika U19 vs Litvanya U19 Analysis →
16:00 İsviçre U19 vs Kuzey Makedonya U19 Analysis →
16:00 Ukrayna U19 vs Letonya U19 Analysis →
17:00 Norveç U19 vs Bosna-Hersek U19 Analysis →