Aston Villa (K) 0-4 Manchester United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

Aston Villa (K)
0-4 HT 0-3
Manchester United (K)
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.04
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
22%
+2.3pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa (K) v Manchester United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester United (K) EU Bookmakers 58%
-27% / -27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
0.70/3.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.22
+35% / -62% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +21%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 373 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.4
6.0 Crosses 22.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.3

Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aston Villa (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Manchester United (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
1.94 xG 0.48
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 2
411 Passes 266
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
27 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Manchester United (K) Manchester United (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Aston Villa (K) Aston Villa (K) İNKPL

Aston Villa (K) 0-4 Manchester United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
0-4
AWAY Manchester United (K)
1.07 xG 2.34
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 6
263 Passes 338
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 34
10 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester United (K) ran out comfortable winners over Aston Villa (K) 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Manchester United (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 46% of the ball to Manchester United (K)'s 54%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.07 to 2.34.

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 0-4 Manchester United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Manchester United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 24%, draw 28%, Manchester United (K) 48%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester United (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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