Leicester City WFC (K) 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 23 Mar 2025

Leicester City WFC (K)
3-2 HT 3-0
Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
📅23/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2024/2025

Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
36%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.8pp
36%
Away Win
42%
-5.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leicester City WFC (K) v Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City WFC (K) EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
0.85/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.98
-100% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -63%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
286 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
15.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.8
10.0 Crosses 18.8
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.08 xG 1.56
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
312 Passes 370
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 28
16 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
03.11.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) İNKPL
24.03.2024 Leicester City WFC (K) Leicester City WFC (K) 2-3 HT 0-0 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) Brighton & Hove Albion (K) İNKPL

Leicester City WFC (K) 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City WFC (K)
3-2
AWAY Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
2.59 xG 2.08
30% Ball Possession 70%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 9
193 Passes 544
72% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 46
14 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City WFC (K) squeezed past Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 3-2. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Leicester City WFC (K) made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Leicester City WFC (K) had 30% of the ball to Brighton & Hove Albion (K)'s 70%, shots finished 15-15, expected goals 2.59 to 2.08.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Leicester City WFC (K) and 2.00 for Brighton & Hove Albion (K).

What was the final score of Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Leicester City WFC (K) 3-2 Brighton & Hove Albion (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City WFC (K) vs Brighton & Hove Albion (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brighton & Hove Albion (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Leicester City WFC (K) 33%, draw 31%, Brighton & Hove Albion (K) 36%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brighton & Hove Albion (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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