Valencia (K) 4-1 Madrid CFF (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+1.8pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.5pp
33%
Away Win
41%
-7.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.8pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valencia (K) EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Madrid CFF (K) EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.91/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.61
+74% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -33%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.2
16.2 Crosses 11.7
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valencia (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
0.99 xG 1.23
32% Ball Possession 68%
5 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 7
126 Passes 387
55% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
18.01.2025 Madrid CFF (K) 1-1 HT 1-1 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
12.05.2024 Madrid CFF (K) 6-1 HT 2-0 Valencia (K) Valencia (K) İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valencia (K)
4-1
AWAY Madrid CFF (K)
1.72 xG 1.31
31% Ball Possession 69%
11 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 7
142 Passes 370
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Valencia (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valencia (K) cruised past Madrid CFF (K) 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Valencia (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Valencia (K) had 31% of the ball to Madrid CFF (K)'s 69%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 1.72 to 1.31.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Madrid CFF (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valencia (K) and 3.50 for Madrid CFF (K).

What was the final score of Valencia (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Valencia (K) 4-1 Madrid CFF (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valencia (K) vs Madrid CFF (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valencia (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Valencia (K) 33%, draw 33%, Madrid CFF (K) 33%. The final score 4-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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