Galler U21 1-1 İsveç U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
48%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.03
Over 2.5
56%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.8
2-3 Goals
42%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.88
1/2
7%
21.55
1/X
4%
15.9
X/1
8%
8.94
X/2
14%
4.22
X/X
14%
5.58
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
26%
2.22
2/X
6%
14.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.9pp
48%
Away Win
54%
-6.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
45%
-1.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
55%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.3pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Galler U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY İsveç U21 EU Bookmakers 58%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -68% / -68%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / -61%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 436 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Galler U21
1-1
AWAY İsveç U21
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Galler U21 vs İsveç U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Galler U21 and İsveç U21 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was İsveç U21 at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Galler U21 had 50% of the ball to İsveç U21's 50%.

What was the final score of Galler U21 vs İsveç U21?

Galler U21 1-1 İsveç U21 in the Friendlies on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Galler U21 vs İsveç U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an İsveç U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Galler U21 28%, draw 24%, İsveç U21 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (İsveç U21), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (İsveç U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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