Orijent 1919 1-1 Dugopolje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.52
Over 2.5
39%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.9pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.1pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Orijent 1919 EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Dugopolje EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
1.11/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.05
-15% / +142% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +15%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Orijent 1919
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Dugopolje
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.11.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-1 HT 0-1 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
07.09.2024 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 2-0 HT 1-0 Dugopolje Dugopolje HIR2
25.05.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 0-0 HT 0-0 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
09.03.2024 Dugopolje Dugopolje 1-2 HT 0-1 Orijent 1919 Orijent 1919 HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Orijent 1919
1-1
AWAY Dugopolje
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Orijent 1919 vs Dugopolje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orijent 1919 and Dugopolje shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Orijent 1919 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Orijent 1919 had 56% of the ball to Dugopolje's 44%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Orijent 1919 had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Orijent 1919 and 0.50 for Dugopolje.

What was the final score of Orijent 1919 vs Dugopolje?

Orijent 1919 1-1 Dugopolje in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Orijent 1919 vs Dugopolje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Orijent 1919 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Orijent 1919 43%, draw 28%, Dugopolje 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Orijent 1919), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Orijent 1919) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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