Spokane Velocity 0-1 Naples — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Mar 2025

📅23/03/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.76
No
45%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.2pp
33%
Draw
28%
+5.6pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.5pp
55%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS No
47%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Spokane Velocity EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Naples EU Bookmakers 36%
-29% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-27% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 370 · 82%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.9 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Spokane Velocity
0-1
AWAY Naples
0.83 xG 0.95
63% Ball Possession 37%
12 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 0
533 Passes 293
87% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 7
18 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Spokane Velocity vs Naples
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naples nicked a narrow win over Spokane Velocity 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 33% / 33% — and on the day Naples made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Spokane Velocity had 63% of the ball to Naples's 37%, shots finished 12-6, expected goals 0.83 to 0.95.

What was the final score of Spokane Velocity vs Naples?

Spokane Velocity 0-1 Naples in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Spokane Velocity vs Naples?

Before kick-off our model rated a Spokane Velocity win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Spokane Velocity 34%, draw 33%, Naples 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spokane Velocity), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spokane Velocity) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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