Union Berlin (K) 4-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 23 Mar 2026

Union Berlin (K)
4-1 HT 3-0
Werder Bremen (K)
📅23/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Women's Bundesliga – 2025/2026

Union Berlin (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.33
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
35%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.41
No
39%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
39%
+1.2pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.4pp
35%
Away Win
37%
-1.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.4pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.4pp
61%
BTTS Yes
67%
-6.1pp
39%
BTTS No
33%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Berlin (K) v Werder Bremen (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Berlin (K) EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Werder Bremen (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
+45% / +45% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.89/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.25
+150% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
296 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.0 Crosses 21.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.8

Union Berlin (K) vs Werder Bremen (K) Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Berlin (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.18 xG 1.16
40% Ball Possession 60%
3 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 12
256 Passes 415
76% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 34
3 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
01.11.2025 Werder Bremen (K) Werder Bremen (K) 3-0 HT 1-0 Union Berlin (K) Union Berlin (K) ALKB

Union Berlin (K) 4-1 Werder Bremen (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Berlin (K)
4-1
AWAY Werder Bremen (K)
1.37 xG 1.62
39% Ball Possession 61%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
197 Passes 350
69% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 26
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Berlin (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Berlin (K) cruised past Werder Bremen (K) 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; Union Berlin (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Berlin (K) had 39% of the ball to Werder Bremen (K)'s 61%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.37 to 1.62.

What was the final score of Union Berlin (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Union Berlin (K) 4-1 Werder Bremen (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Berlin (K) vs Werder Bremen (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Berlin (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Union Berlin (K) 40%, draw 25%, Werder Bremen (K) 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Berlin (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Berlin (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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