Union Omaha 3-2 Athletic Club Boise — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 23 Mar 2026

Union Omaha
3-2 HT 1-1
Athletic Club Boise
📅23/03/2026 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
USA - USL League 1 – 2026

Union Omaha vs Athletic Club Boise Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
22%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.21
Over 2.5
55%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
50%
+3.0pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
22%
Away Win
26%
-3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.2pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Omaha v Athletic Club Boise — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Omaha EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Club Boise EU Bookmakers 29%
+5% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+26% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 80%
24.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
22.4 Crosses –
2.2 Yellow Cards –

Union Omaha 3-2 Athletic Club Boise — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Omaha
3-2
AWAY Athletic Club Boise
1.16 xG 1.73
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
382 Passes 329
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
23 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Omaha vs Athletic Club Boise
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Union Omaha squeezed past Athletic Club Boise 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Union Omaha as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Omaha had 53% of the ball to Athletic Club Boise's 47%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.16 to 1.73 — on chances, Athletic Club Boise could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Union Omaha vs Athletic Club Boise?

Union Omaha 3-2 Athletic Club Boise in the USA - USL League 1 on 23/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Omaha vs Athletic Club Boise?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Omaha win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Union Omaha 53%, draw 24%, Athletic Club Boise 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Union Omaha), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Union Omaha) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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