Leicester City 5-0 Southampton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.51
Over 2.5
50%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.46
No
51%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
5.44
2-3 Goals
33%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.51
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.44 — our 30% vs market 13.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.55
1/2
7%
29.0
1/X
10%
12.55
X/1
11%
5.02
X/2
10%
7.74
X/X
13%
6.18
2/1
7%
20.45
2/2
13%
4.61
2/X
5%
12.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
36%
+13.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
64%
-13.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.9pp
51%
BTTS No
36%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leicester City EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Southampton EU Bookmakers 31%
-2% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -26%
0.96/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.93
-25% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / -45%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
18.0 Crosses 21.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leicester City
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Southampton
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
2.22 xG 1.25
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
420 Passes 274
81% Pass Accuracy 73%
28 Box Touches 19
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-4 HT 1-3 Leicester City Leicester City İNCL
04.03.2023 Southampton Southampton 1-0 HT 1-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
20.08.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 1-2 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
22.05.2022 Leicester City Leicester City 4-1 HT 0-0 Southampton Southampton İNP
01.12.2021 Southampton Southampton 2-2 HT 2-1 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
30.04.2021 Southampton Southampton 1-1 HT 0-0 Leicester City Leicester City İNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leicester City
5-0
AWAY Southampton
2.04 xG 0.30
34% Ball Possession 66%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 4
295 Passes 641
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
29 Box Touches 12
12 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Leicester City vs Southampton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leicester City swept aside Southampton 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Leicester City as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Leicester City had 34% of the ball to Southampton's 66%, shots finished 17-7, expected goals 2.04 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Leicester City and 1.33 for Southampton.

What was the final score of Leicester City vs Southampton?

Leicester City 5-0 Southampton in the England - Championship on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leicester City vs Southampton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leicester City win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Leicester City 42%, draw 28%, Southampton 31%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leicester City), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leicester City) ✓ BTTS No
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