Guiseley 2-4 Worksop Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
40%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.18
Over 2.5
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.55
No
49%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
35%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
40%
Away Win
40%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.1pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guiseley EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Worksop Town EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
1.40/1.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.64
-7% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -9%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
339 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guiseley
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Worksop Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
31.10.2023 Worksop Town Worksop Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Guiseley Guiseley İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guiseley
2-4
AWAY Worksop Town
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guiseley vs Worksop Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worksop Town got the better of Guiseley 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 25% / 40% — and on the day Worksop Town made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Guiseley had 53% of the ball to Worksop Town's 47%, shots finished 16-11.

What was the final score of Guiseley vs Worksop Town?

Guiseley 2-4 Worksop Town in the England - Non League Premier on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guiseley vs Worksop Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worksop Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Guiseley 35%, draw 25%, Worksop Town 40%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worksop Town), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Worksop Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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