Redlands United 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 23 Apr 2024

Redlands United
0-1 HT 0-0
Moreton City Excelsior
📅23/04/2024 · 🕒13:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Redlands United vs Moreton City Excelsior Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.69
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.51
Over 2.5
56%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
35%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
24%
+5.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.0pp
44%
Under 2.5
36%
+7.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
64%
-7.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.6pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Redlands United v Moreton City Excelsior — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Redlands United EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 59%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.51/1.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.35/1.32
+10% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
17.9 Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Redlands United vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior squeezed past Redlands United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Redlands United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Redlands United 0-1 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - National Premier League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Redlands United vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Redlands United 30%, draw 26%, Moreton City Excelsior 44%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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