Denbigh Town 2-2 Bangor 1876 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 23 Apr 2024

Denbigh Town
2-2 HT 2-0
Bangor 1876
📅23/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✓ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Wales - FAW Championship – 2023/2024

Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
46%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
3.68
Over 2.5
62%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.28
No
39%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
28%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
40%
-9.8pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
38%
+7.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
24%
+14.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
76%
-14.0pp
61%
BTTS Yes
74%
-12.9pp
39%
BTTS No
26%
+12.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Denbigh Town v Bangor 1876 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Denbigh Town EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bangor 1876 EU Bookmakers 43%
+29% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +40% / +40%
3.40/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.46/1.46
+87% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +94% / +10%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
282 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 376 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Denbigh Town and Bangor 1876 shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bangor 1876 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876?

Denbigh Town 2-2 Bangor 1876 in the Wales - FAW Championship on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Denbigh Town vs Bangor 1876?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bangor 1876 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Denbigh Town 30%, draw 24%, Bangor 1876 46%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bangor 1876) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bangor 1876) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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