Swansea City U21 1-2 Burnley U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 23 Apr 2024

Swansea City U21
1-2 HT 0-1
Burnley U21
📅23/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - Professional Development League – 2023/2024

Swansea City U21 vs Burnley U21 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
37%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
Over 2.5
68%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.35
No
40%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
68%
-22.2pp
17%
Draw
17%
+0.2pp
37%
Away Win
16%
+21.9pp
60%
BTTS Yes
70%
-10.2pp
40%
BTTS No
30%
+10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swansea City U21 v Burnley U21 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swansea City U21 EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Burnley U21 EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.86/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.02
+10% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +14%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
417 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Swansea City U21 vs Burnley U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Burnley U21 squeezed past Swansea City U21 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Swansea City U21 at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Swansea City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Swansea City U21 1-2 Burnley U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swansea City U21 vs Burnley U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swansea City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Swansea City U21 46%, draw 17%, Burnley U21 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Swansea City U21) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Swansea City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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