FA Siauliai 0-1 Suduva — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.05
Draw
20%
3.04
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
3%
2/2
21%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.8pp
21%
Draw
29%
-8.9pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+1.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FA Siauliai EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Suduva EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.41/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.54
-7% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +0%
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
262 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FA Siauliai
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Suduva
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Suduva Suduva 0-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
25.10.2023 Suduva Suduva 2-0 HT 0-0 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
08.07.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-2 HT 1-1 Suduva Suduva LITA
02.05.2023 Suduva Suduva 0-2 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai LIT1
19.03.2023 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 3-0 HT 3-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
29.10.2022 FA Siauliai FA Siauliai 2-0 HT 2-0 Suduva Suduva LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FA Siauliai
0-1
AWAY Suduva
70% Ball Possession 30%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FA Siauliai vs Suduva
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suduva squeezed past FA Siauliai 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was FA Siauliai at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, FA Siauliai had 70% of the ball to Suduva's 30%, shots finished 16-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for FA Siauliai and 0.67 for Suduva.

What was the final score of FA Siauliai vs Suduva?

FA Siauliai 0-1 Suduva in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FA Siauliai vs Suduva?

Before kick-off our model rated a FA Siauliai win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split FA Siauliai 47%, draw 21%, Suduva 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (FA Siauliai) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FA Siauliai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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