Skeid 1-2 Raufoss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - NM Cup, 23 Apr 2024

📅23/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
48%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.63
No
51%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
33%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.3pp
48%
Away Win
42%
+6.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
57%
-8.0pp
51%
BTTS No
43%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skeid EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Raufoss EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +44%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
256 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skeid
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Raufoss
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
19.01.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 Skeid Skeid HAZ
13.08.2023 Skeid Skeid 1-2 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
25.06.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
24.07.2022 Skeid Skeid 2-2 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
26.06.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 0-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
09.11.2019 Raufoss Raufoss 4-5 HT 3-2 Skeid Skeid NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skeid
1-2
AWAY Raufoss
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Skeid vs Raufoss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss nicked a narrow win over Skeid 2-1 away from home.

As we said in the preview, our model had Raufoss as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Skeid had 64% of the ball to Raufoss's 36%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raufoss led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Skeid and 2.00 for Raufoss.

What was the final score of Skeid vs Raufoss?

Skeid 1-2 Raufoss in the Norway - NM Cup on 23/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skeid vs Raufoss?

Before kick-off our model rated an Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Skeid 27%, draw 25%, Raufoss 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Raufoss), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Raufoss) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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